AS Economics › Unit 6 › Lesson 6.2

Protectionism

Lesson 6.276 past-paper questions
Study note · International trade, protectionism and globalisation

This note covers several lessons in the unit, so read it through once. Use “Go deeper” for the A Level extension.

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A country good at absolutely everything should still buy some things from a country good at nothing. That claim sounds wrong and it is the most important result in international economics. It explains why trade benefits both parties even when one is more productive across the board, and once you see why, most arguments for restricting trade start to look like arguments about who captures the gains rather than whether the gains exist.

Specialisation means concentrating on producing a narrower range of goods and obtaining the rest through exchange. It happens at every level: individuals specialise in occupations, firms in products, regions in industries and countries in exports. The gains come from producing more with the same resources, because specialists get better at what they repeat, because time is not lost switching between tasks, and because larger production runs allow economies of scale and justify investment in specialised equipment.

Countries specialise for reasons rooted in what they have. Climate and geography determine what can be grown or extracted, which is why bananas come from the tropics and iron ore from where the deposits are. The quantity and skill of the workforce matters, so labour-intensive manufacturing tends to locate where labour is plentiful and cheap. Capital and technology allow advanced manufacturing and services. Accumulated expertise and reputation matter too, which is why certain regions dominate industries long after the original reason has faded.

The advantages of international trade follow from specialisation. Consumers get a wider variety of goods, including those a country cannot produce at all, and lower prices from cheaper foreign producers. Firms access larger markets, which allows economies of scale and makes investment worthwhile. Competition from imports pressures domestic firms to improve quality and control costs. And countries obtain the raw materials and capital equipment they need for growth. Against that, trade brings dependence on other countries, exposes domestic industries to competition they may not survive, can encourage overspecialisation that leaves a country vulnerable if demand for its export collapses, and carries environmental costs from transport.

Definition

Free trade

International trade that takes place without restrictions such as tariffs, quotas or subsidies to domestic producers.

Definition

Globalisation

The process by which the economies of the world become increasingly connected through trade, investment, the movement of people and the spread of technology.

Globalisation has been driven by cheaper transport, especially container shipping and air freight, by the internet and faster communication, by agreements that have reduced trade barriers, and by the growth of multinational companies. A multinational company (MNC) is a firm that produces in more than one country, usually with its headquarters in one country and factories, offices or shops in others. It spreads production to wherever costs are lowest, to get closer to its customers, to secure raw materials, and to get round trade barriers by producing inside the markets it sells to.

For the host country, where the MNC sets up, the benefits are new jobs, training that raises workers' skills, investment the country could not fund itself, new technology and management methods, tax revenue, and more exports. The costs are that profits are sent back to the home country, local firms may be driven out by the competition, the best jobs often go to staff brought in from abroad, the firm may exploit weak rules on pay, safety or pollution, and it may leave suddenly if costs are lower elsewhere. For the home country, where the MNC is based, the benefits are the profits that return and cheaper imports; the cost is that jobs may move abroad.

Check question

Which is a disadvantage to a host country of a multinational company setting up there?

Definition

Protectionism

Government policies that restrict international trade in order to shield domestic industries from foreign competition.

The instruments are worth knowing precisely because questions ask you to distinguish them. A tariff is a tax on imports, which raises their price and generates revenue for the government. A quota is a physical limit on the quantity that may be imported, which raises price without any revenue, since the gain accrues to whoever holds the import licence. A subsidy to domestic producers lowers their costs so they can undercut imports, which costs the government money rather than raising it. Embargoes ban trade in a good or with a country entirely. And administrative barriers, such as demanding safety standards or paperwork designed to be onerous, restrict trade without appearing to.

An export subsidy is a payment to domestic firms for each unit they sell abroad. It lets them sell at a lower price in foreign markets than they otherwise could, which raises exports rather than reducing imports. It costs the government money, it gives foreign consumers cheaper goods at domestic taxpayers' expense, and it often provokes retaliation, because other countries treat subsidised exports sold below cost as unfair competition. For that reason export subsidies are restricted by the rules of the World Trade Organization.

Exam tip · explain

The difference between a tariff and a quota is examined regularly and the discriminator is revenue. A tariff raises price and gives the government tax revenue. A quota raises price by restricting quantity, and that extra revenue goes to the importers or foreign producers holding the licences, not to the government. Both protect domestic producers and both raise prices for consumers; only one funds the treasury.

Worked example

Who gains and who loses from a tariff

A country imports 50,000 tonnes of sugar a year at a world price of $400 per tonne. Domestic producers supply 20,000 tonnes. The government imposes a $100 per tonne tariff. Imports fall to 35,000 tonnes and domestic supply rises to 30,000 tonnes. Calculate the tariff revenue, the extra cost to consumers on the quantity still imported, and identify who gains and who loses.

Governments protect for reasons that are not all bad, and questions want the strongest version of each. The infant industry argument holds that a new industry needs temporary protection to reach the scale at which it can compete, after which protection is removed. Protecting employment in a declining industry buys time for workers to retrain rather than face sudden mass unemployment. Strategic industries such as food, energy and defence may be protected on security grounds, since dependence on imports is dangerous if supply is interrupted. Dumping, where a foreign producer sells below cost to drive out competitors, is met with anti-dumping duties. And protection may be a bargaining tool, imposed to obtain the removal of another country's barriers.

Several other reasons are given for restricting trade. Cutting imports can reduce a deficit on the current account of the balance of payments. Tariffs raise tax revenue for the government, which matters most in countries where other taxes are hard to collect. Restrictions can keep out harmful goods, such as drugs, weapons or unsafe products, in the same way that taxes discourage demerit goods at home. And they can promote environmental sustainability, for example by restricting imports of goods produced with heavy pollution or illegal logging. Against every reason stands the same set of costs: higher prices and less choice for consumers, less pressure on domestic firms to become efficient, and the risk that other countries retaliate, which harms the country's exporters.

Check question

A government replaces a tariff with a quota that restricts imports to the same quantity. Compared with the tariff, the quota means:

Check question

Which is the strongest economic objection to protecting a domestic industry indefinitely?

Diagram task

Draw a domestic demand and supply diagram for a good, with a horizontal world supply line below the domestic equilibrium price. Mark domestic production, total consumption and imports. Then raise the world supply line by the amount of a tariff and mark the new domestic production, consumption and imports, shading the government's tariff revenue.

Four quantities change and all four should be labelled: domestic output rises, consumption falls, imports are squeezed from both sides, and the government collects revenue on what still comes in. Candidates who mark only the price change miss most of the available marks, since the whole argument is about the quantities.

Absolute and comparative advantage

Absolute advantage means being able to produce a good using fewer resources than another country. Comparative advantage means being able to produce it at a lower opportunity cost, measured in units of the other good forgone. The distinction is the whole theory. A country with an absolute advantage in everything still has a comparative advantage in only some things, because opportunity cost is relative: being better at both goods does not mean being equally better at both. Provided the opportunity cost ratios differ between countries, specialisation according to comparative advantage and then trading leaves both countries able to consume beyond their own production possibility curves.

Worked example

Finding comparative advantage and a gainful terms of trade

With one unit of resources, Country A can produce 40 tonnes of wheat or 20 cars. Country B can produce 30 tonnes of wheat or 30 cars. Identify any absolute advantages, calculate opportunity costs, determine comparative advantage, and state a rate of exchange at which both countries gain.

The theory rests on assumptions that should be stated when evaluating it. It assumes no transport costs, which can exceed the cost advantage for bulky low-value goods. It assumes constant returns, whereas in practice opportunity cost rises as specialisation proceeds, which limits how far specialisation should go. It assumes factors are mobile between industries within a country, whereas in reality workers displaced by imports may not find work in the export sector, which is where the political resistance to trade originates. It ignores externalities and it says nothing about how the gains are distributed within a country. The theory establishes that trade raises total output; it does not establish that everyone gains.

Definition

Terms of trade

The rate at which a country's exports exchange for its imports, measured as an index of export prices relative to an index of import prices.

Terms of trade index
Terms of trade = (index of average export prices / index of average import prices) x 100

A rise in the index is called an improvement, or a favourable movement: each unit of exports buys more imports. A fall is a deterioration. The word favourable describes prices only and says nothing about whether the trade balance improves.

Worked example

Calculating a change in the terms of trade

In the base year both a country's export and import price indices are 100. Five years later its export price index is 110 and its import price index is 125. Calculate the terms of trade and explain what has happened.

The terms of trade change for several reasons. Faster inflation at home than abroad raises export prices relative to import prices, improving them. An appreciation of the currency does the same, since exports become dearer in foreign currency and imports cheaper in domestic currency, while a depreciation worsens them. Changes in world demand and supply matter most for countries exporting primary products: a rise in the world price of oil improves the terms of trade of oil exporters and worsens those of oil importers. Over the long run, prices of primary products have tended to rise more slowly than prices of manufactures, which is one reason developing countries that export commodities have found their terms of trade deteriorating.

The impact of a change depends on its cause. An improvement caused by rising world demand for the country's exports is good news: export earnings rise and the country can afford more imports, raising living standards. An improvement caused by higher domestic inflation or an appreciation is less clear, because exports become less competitive. If demand for exports is price elastic, export volumes fall enough that export revenue falls, the current account worsens and jobs in export industries are lost, even though the terms of trade have 'improved'. A deterioration caused by a depreciation can likewise improve the current account if demand is elastic enough, which links to the Marshall-Lerner condition.

Check question

A country's export price index rises from 100 to 120 while its import price index rises from 100 to 105. What happens to its terms of trade?

Analysis chain

Why a tariff can reduce national welfare even though domestic producers gain

  1. A tariff raises the domestic price of the imported good above the world price.
  2. Domestic producers expand output, because production is now profitable at the higher price for firms that could not compete at the world price.
  3. Those additional units are produced using more resources than it would have cost to import them, so resources are being used inefficiently.
  4. Consumers face the higher price on every unit they buy, whether domestic or imported, so consumer surplus falls.
  5. Part of that lost consumer surplus is transferred to domestic producers as higher profit and part to the government as tariff revenue, and transfers are not net losses.
  6. But two portions are transferred to nobody: the extra resource cost of the inefficient domestic production, and the surplus lost by consumers priced out of the market entirely.
  7. Those two triangles are the deadweight welfare loss, so national welfare falls even though a visible and vocal group of domestic producers has gained.

Step 7 explains the politics as well as the economics. The gains are concentrated on an identifiable industry that will lobby for them, while the losses are spread thinly across all consumers who mostly will not notice, which is why protection is politically durable despite the welfare arithmetic.

Practise this chain →
Check question

Country X can produce both wheat and cloth using fewer resources than Country Y. This means:

Diagram task

Draw production possibility curves for two countries with different slopes, reflecting different opportunity cost ratios. Mark each country's pre-trade production and consumption point. Then show each specialising completely and draw the consumption possibility line each faces once trade takes place at an agreed rate.

The consumption possibility line lies outside the country's own PPC, and that gap is the entire gain from trade shown geometrically. The slope of that line is the terms of trade, and it must lie between the two countries' PPC slopes, which is the same condition derived arithmetically in the worked example.

In context

Applied context

The integration of China into world trade from the 1990s onwards is the largest single episode of trade liberalisation on record and shows both sides clearly. Consumers across importing countries gained from substantially cheaper manufactured goods, and hundreds of millions of people moved out of absolute poverty as employment shifted from agriculture into manufacturing. At the same time, manufacturing regions in several advanced economies experienced concentrated and persistent job losses, with the displaced workers frequently not moving into the export sectors that expanded. The aggregate gains were real and so were the localised losses, and the assumption of factor mobility is precisely what failed.

This is the strongest available evidence for the claim that trade raises total welfare while distributing the gains very unevenly. Use it to argue that the case for trade is compatible with a case for compensating those who lose.

Links to

Trade connects across the specification. Tariffs and quotas are microeconomic interventions analysed with the same welfare tools as any indirect tax, so the government intervention topic applies directly. The current account records trade flows, so protectionism appears again as a policy for correcting a deficit, where its costs must be weighed against those of depreciation and deflation. Exchange rates determine competitiveness and therefore the volume of trade. Comparative advantage is opportunity cost applied internationally, so it rests on the foundation topic. And the distributional consequences of trade connect to the inequality topic, since the losses fall on identifiable groups.

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Evaluation

Should a government ever protect an industry?

  • The infant industry argument is theoretically sound: an industry with substantial economies of scale may be unable to enter a market where established foreign firms already operate at minimum efficient scale, so temporary protection could allow it to reach viability. The difficulty is entirely practical, since governments are poor at picking which industries qualify and protection once granted is politically almost impossible to withdraw.
  • Strategic and security arguments carry genuine weight for food, energy and defence, where dependence on a supplier who might cut you off is a real risk rather than a theoretical one. Against that, the argument is easily abused, since almost any industry can claim strategic importance.
  • Protecting employment in a declining industry addresses a real cost, because displaced workers often do not move smoothly into expanding sectors and the losses are geographically concentrated. But protection freezes the industry rather than easing the transition, and retraining and relocation support address the same problem without the permanent consumer cost.
  • Retaliation is the underrated objection. Protection invites counter-measures, and an escalating tariff war leaves every participant worse off than the starting point, which is why multilateral agreements exist at all.
  • The distributional politics explain why bad protection persists. Benefits are concentrated on an organised industry while costs are diffused across consumers who each lose a little, so the pressure to protect is systematically stronger than the pressure to liberalise, regardless of the welfare arithmetic.
  • The strongest answers accept that a well-designed, temporary, targeted intervention can be justified in specific cases, while noting that most observed protection is none of those three, and that the honest comparison is between imperfect trade and imperfect government rather than against an ideal.
Exam tip · analyse

Comparative advantage questions are answered with opportunity cost ratios, not with output figures. Set out both countries' opportunity costs for both goods before saying anything else, and state the units, since 1 wheat costs 0.5 cars is meaningless without them. Then identify the lower opportunity cost in each good, and state the range of terms of trade. Candidates who compare output levels rather than opportunity costs are answering with absolute advantage and will lose most of the marks.